作者:Nancy Lubale,CoinTelegraph;编译:白水,金色财经
Author: Nancy Lubale, CoinTelegraph; edited by White Water, Gold Book
3 月 23 日,ETH 价格一度跌至 4,000 美元以下,跌破 3,890 美元,随后由于 4,658 万美元的杠杆多头清算而出现回调。在此之后,以太坊期货未平仓合约于 5 月 28 日创下 170.9 亿美元的历史新高。
On March 23, ETH prices once fell below US$ 4,000, falling under US$ 3,890, and then rewinded as a result of a multiple liquidation of US$ 4658 million. After that, reached an historic high of US$ 170.90 billion on May 28.
同样,根据 Coinglass 的数据,随着以太坊期货未平仓合约持续在 3,700 美元以上盘整,其未平仓合约仍保持在 161 亿美元的高位。
Similarly, according to Coinglass, the unscathed contracts remained at a high of $16.1 billion as the Etheraya futures contracts continued to run above $3,700.
ETH 期货未平仓合约。资料来源:Coinglass
与此同时,芝加哥商品交易所(CME)以太坊期货期权的月交易量在 5 月份创下了历史新高。
At the same time, the Chicago Commodity Exchange (CME) recorded an all-time high in May in terms of monthly trading of futures options.
根据 CCData 于 6 月 5 日发布的报告,CME 的 ETH 期权交易量增长了 115%,达到 9.31 亿美元。与 4 月份的 6.1575 亿美元相比,这一数字显著增加,创下了月交易量的新高。
According to a report released by CCData on 5 June, ETH trading volume for CMME increased by 115 per cent to $931 million. This represents a significant increase compared to $615.75 million in April, bringing the monthly volume to a new high.
“ETH 工具交易活动的增加凸显了在美国证券交易委员会突然转向现货以太坊 ETF 申请之后,机构对该资产的兴趣日益浓厚。”
CME ETH 期权月度历史交易量。资料来源:CCData
一些分析师认为,以太坊衍生品市场交易活动的增加表明,在 5 月 23 日批准现货以太坊 ETF 后,机构对 ETH 的兴趣有所增加。
According to some analysts, the increase in trading activities on the market for Etheria derivatives indicates an increase in institutional interest in Ethio Ether after approval of the spot on 23 May.
算法交易公司 Wintermute 的分析师表示:“以太坊的 CME 未平仓合约正在接近历史最高水平,表明在 S-1 备案和最终推出之前,机构对 ETH/BTC 交易的兴趣。”
The analyst from the algorithm trading firm Wintermute said:
该交易公司在 5 月 27 日发布的一份报告中表示,以太坊期权的增加表明,由于对价格大幅波动的预期增强,隐含波动率上升。隐含波动率根据期权价格衡量市场对特定时间段内未来波动的预期。
In a report issued on 27 May, the trading firm stated that the increase in the right of the taupulega showed that the increase in the expected volatility of prices implied an increase in the rate of volatility. Implicit fluctuations measure the market’s expectations of future fluctuations over a given period of time, based on options prices.
随着现货以太坊 ETF 的推出临近,市场参与者预计以太坊的价格将变得更加波动。
“市场对美国证券交易委员会突然逆转的反应表明,投资者措手不及。过去一个月内日益增加的以太坊负面情绪已经消失。尽管价格走势仍可能受到大盘形势的影响,但未来上涨的可能性已经提高。” “The market response to the sudden reversal of the United States Securities and Exchange Commission shows that investors are caught up. The growing negative sentiment in the past month has disappeared. While price trends may still be influenced by the big picture, the likelihood of future increases has increased.” () 以太坊永续合约同样看涨 Ether's permanent contract is just as high. 同样,其他指标,如永续合约(反向掉期),也反映了同样的看涨倾向。这些衍生品也称为反向掉期,包含通常每八小时重新计算一次的嵌入式利率,这表明对杠杆多头头寸的需求过大。 Similarly, other indicators, such as permanent contracts (reverse swaps), reflect the same upward trend. These derivatives are also referred to as reverse swaps, which include embedded interest rates that are normally recalculated every eight hours, indicating an excessive demand for leveraged multiple positions. ETH 永续期货 8 小时融资利率。资料来源:Coinglass Coinglass 数据显示,ETH 融资利率在过去几天内大幅上涨至 0.0175,相当于每周 0.367%。通常,在乐观情绪日益高涨的情况下,利率仍为正值。因此,使用永续合约的交易者表现出与期货市场相同的看涨情绪。 Coinglass data show that ETH financing rates have risen significantly over the past few days to 0.0175, equivalent to 0.367 per cent per week. Usually, in the face of growing optimism, interest rates remain positive. Therefore, 根据 CoinGecko 的数据,截至本文发布时,以太坊价格为 3,843 美元,过去 24 小时内上涨 1.2%。 According to CoinGecko, at the time of the publication of this paper, the price of the Taiyo was US$ 3,843, an increase of 1.2 per cent in the last 24 hours.
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