平析 | 平定天下，深度解析
Parsing, chromium, flatten, depth.
今日平说 | 独家原创 侵权必究
Today Ping says, "The only thing that's original, the violation must be punished."
投稿信箱：zg5201949 @qq.com
Mailbox: zg5201949@qq.com
最近比特币暴涨到1万元(1700美元)一枚的新闻开始刷屏，要知道，早先这玩意才1美分1枚啊！在暴利消息的刺激下身边很多人都跃跃欲试，对此今日平说深感担忧，决定友情八卦一下比特币，让准备入网者先冷静冷静。这两天很多人问我，比特币到底是个什么？又为什么会有人愿意花钱去买它？是否是一种国外的类似Q币的虚拟货币？回答：当然不是。
Recently, the story of Bitcoin skyrocketed to $10,000 ($1,700) and began to scribble, knowing that it was only a penny a penny earlier. Many of the people around us, inspired by the news of thugs, were so worried today that they decided to tell their friends about Bitcoin and let those who were ready to enter the net calmly. These two days, many people asked me, "What is Bitcoin? Why would anyone want to buy it?" Is it a foreign Q-like virtual currency? Answer: No.
比特币是一种单纯的虚拟货币符号，其算法是很先进的，其理念甚至有些超前。比特币的开发者也是个匿名的技术大牛，不过他此前一直很反对比特币过早金融货币化，可是后来此人突然销声匿迹不知所终，所以比特币最终还是被插上了金融翅膀。但其实比特币一开始的玩法只是利用参与者手中的电脑CUP沉余计算空间（具体原理太复杂，说个大概就好）来维护整个系统的安全。大概就是你贡献的CUP计算量越大，对系统增益越多，那么系统就会按照既有规则给你一个（BT）的数据奖励。所以一开始这只是一个电脑极客们私下里玩的小圈子游戏，不过后来随着金融巨头的加持，这个小圈子游戏一下子就爆发了。
Bitcoin is a simple virtual currency symbol, and its algorithms are advanced, even more advanced. Bitcoin's developer is also an anonymous technocrat, but he was always opposed to the premature monetization of Bitcoin, and then suddenly he disappeared, so Bitcoin was finally stuck in the financial wing. But Bitcoin started by using the computer CUP in the hands of the participants (which is too complicated, perhaps) to maintain the security of the system. Perhaps the bigger the CUP you contribute, the more the system gains, then the system will give you a data reward in accordance with the established rules.
资本的魅力就在于此：它可以把白的说成黑的，也可以把黑的说成白的。它可以无中生有变出钱来，也可以从有到无把钱变得分文不值。甚至国外金融巨头还可以左右人的思想，绕开法律的约束。
That's the charm of capital: it can speak white as black, or black as white. It can make money out of nothing, or it can make money worth nothing from nothing. Even foreign financial giants can shape people's minds and bypass laws.
比如当年欧洲某国未成年遭遇出轨老师性侵，尽管当事人自传里承认过这一点，但由于这老师的家族是给老欧洲一个庞大的金融巨头干活的，所以就被洗白了。尽管该国法律规定与未满18岁未成年人发生性行为是犯罪，要坐牢。但人家就是没事，不仅没事而且还被吹捧成了纯爱典范。虽然家族旗下甜品连锁店怎么看也比我国甜品店“好利来”高档了不少，但却还是可以被说成是“小作坊”来洗白，这就是典型的例子。而另外一名没有背景的英国32岁已婚女老师汉纳·格莱丝则因为和一名14岁少年发生性关系，而被法庭判处了一年零三个月的有期徒刑。
In Europe, for example, minors were sexually assaulted by cheating teachers, and despite their self-recognizing admission, the teacher’s family was cleaned up because it worked for a huge financial giant in the old Europe. Although the country’s law defined sex with minors under the age of 18 as a crime, to go to jail.
好了，言归正传。那么金融巨头是如何一步步把这个极小众圈子所产生的虚拟奖励符号炒到4000美元一个的呢？当然是套路。
All right, let's get this straight. So how does the financial giant go step by step and fire the virtual reward symbol from this tiny circle to $4,000? Of course, it's a setup.
最开始他们抛出的诱饵是设法吸引大众参与到比特币游戏中来，怎么吸引呢，当然是到处宣传只要提供你的计算机空闲计算就可以赚钱。就像本文开头所讲的那样：当你贡献出自己的电脑挂上程序以后，就会不断积累贡献，而当你的贡献达到一定时值（有复杂的竞争机制，且附带随机性）就有机会获得比特币奖励。可是比特币现实中一毛钱不值，普通网友有谁会愿意白白贡献自己的电脑CPU呢？所以比特币如果不和现实货币挂钩，必然火不了。
In the first place, the baits they cast were designed to attract the public into the Bitcoin game, and how they attracted it. Of course, they spread the word that you can make money by providing your computer with free computing. As the paper begins: when you contribute your computer to the program, you accumulate your contribution, and you get a bitcoin reward when your contribution reaches a certain time value (complex competition and randomity). But in bitco’s reality, who would be willing to contribute his computer CPU in vain?
于是在比特币被插上金融翅膀之后不久，很多地方就开始有人以很低的价格大量收购比特币，或接受用比特币购买商品了。如果你问：“为什么你要收购这些一分钱不值的的东西呢？” 对方则会说：“你贡献了CPU沉余计算空间，维护了系统的稳定，所以理应得到报酬呀。” ——嗯，听起来合情合理，所以这下比特币就和现实货币以及支付挂上钩了。
So, shortly after Bitcoin was put in its financial wings, many places began to buy bitcoins at very low prices, or to accept bitcoins for goods. If you ask, "Why do you buy these worthless things?" The other side says, "You contribute CPU surplus computing space and maintain system stability, so you deserve to be paid." Well, that sounds reasonable, so the bitcoins are tied to real money and payments.
然后事情就进入了第一个阶段。这时所有网友一看，哎呀不错嘛，这东西还能赚钱？！那我家电脑也挂上这个吧，管它能得到多少比特币呢，反正弄到一点是一点，弄到就是赚到，弄不到也不会亏。（但实际上，如果总挖不到的话，还是会亏的，你开电脑不要钱啊？你上网不要钱啊？你电脑耗损不是钱啊？）不过大多数人是不会去算这个账的，比如白天公司上网的职员，家里有电脑闲着的主妇，开网吧的老板，在那段时间都喜欢没事就挂着这个可以赚到比特币的程序，大家甚至还给这种行为起了一个很有意思的名称，叫：“挖矿”。 嗯，想想，还真有点玩网游挂机挖矿的味道。
And then it's the first stage. And then all the Internet users look at it, and it's good, and it makes money? So do I have this on my computer, and I don't care how much bitcoin it gets, and I get a little bit, and I get it, and I can't get it, and I can't lose it. (But in fact, if I can't dig it, it's not worth the money.) You don't want the money. You don't want the money online. You lose the computer. But most people don't want the money.
但金融巨头进行这一步的目的，只不过是为了完成比特币的“普及”工作，最初购买比特币的钱，是金融巨头自己在掏腰包（当然也有部分玩家之间的自愿交易）。他们之所以愿意出钱收购，其实就是先利用这些小甜头，让尽可能多的人都参与到这个游戏里来，只有参与的人多了，知道的人多了，才可能开启下一步操作。这就相当于很多APP软件，一开始都喜欢通过免单、打折、大优惠来普及安装量，而后才会开始赚钱一样，是一个道理。 也和那些卖老年保健品的公司，总要先送桶菜油或一盒鸡蛋是同样道理。
But the purpose of this move by the financial giants is simply to do the bitcoin’s “universal” job, and the initial purchase of the bitcoins was to pay for the money themselves (and, of course, a voluntary deal between some of the players). The only reason why they were willing to buy the money is to use these little sweets to get as many people as possible into the game, and only if there were more people involved and more people who knew about it, would it be possible to start the next step.
等到比特币风靡全国了，大人小孩通过挂机赚到的钱，都能买上几瓶洗发香波了的时候，这个游戏就开始升级进入第二阶段了。很快，一个类似炒股平台一样的软件就面世啦，在这个软件里人们可以把比特币挂单交易。就像股票一样，比特币拥有者可以在这里方便地买进卖出，还有实时大盘走势和最新交易均价。这简直就和股市一模一样了，所不同的是这个股市的交易标的物不是股票，而是比特币。
By the time Bitcoin became national, the game would be upgraded to the second stage when adults and children could buy a couple of shampoo bottles of money from a hang-up. Soon, a software like a stock-breathing platform would be available in which people could trade Bitcoins. Like stock, Bitcoins owners could easily buy and sell here, with real-time big swings and the same prices as the latest transactions. This is exactly the same as the stock market, and the difference is that the stock is not a stock, but a bitcoin.
我们都知道，炒股起码还有个企业资产垫底和交易法规对不对？因为这玩意如果任由大庄家随便杀进杀出，等散户一入场我就拉盘，先让他们尝到点小甜头，而等到散户因为尝到甜头而跟进，我就砸盘的话，别的用户哪还敢来？ 可是比特币交易软件嘛，谁也不管啊，随便随便啦。也就是说，大庄家完全有实力恣意操盘，当然在大庄家拉盘过程中趁机卖出的散户玩家，也能跟着赚一笔，不过这笔钱很快就必然会再输回去，这个原理卖个关子，待会儿再讲。
We all know that there's at least one firm's asset cushion and trading code, because if this thing is allowed to go in and out by the big man, when the big man comes in, I'll pull it up, then I'll give them a little taste, and then I'll kick it out, because the big man's taste is good, and the rest of the users will come. But the Bitcoin trade software, no matter what. That means that the big man has all the power to do it. Of course, when the big man pulls it, I'll make a profit, but the money will definitely go back, sell it and talk about it later.
先继续讲，随着比特币大盘的拉升，于是这玩意看起来就越来越值钱了对不对？在短时间内它从1美分一枚变成了几十美元一枚。我擦，这速度是中国房价涨幅速度的一万倍啊，有没有？！这下子之前那些卖币的人肠子都悔青了对不对？要知道它的第一笔交易是：“有人用10,000比特币在“棒约翰”叫了两块匹萨外卖。” ——这大概是人类史上最贵的披萨了。按今天的交易价格，折合17000000美元~
Let's go on, this thing looks more valuable as Bitcoins pulls up, right? In a short time it turns from a penny to a few dozen dollars. I rub it, that's 10,000 times the rate at which China's house prices are rising. Is that right? Those who sold the coins before that were repenting? The first deal was, "Someone called two pizzas in "Big John" with 10,000 bits." -- This is probably the most expensive pizza in human history. At today's trading price, it's 17,000 dollars
.
人类有逐利的天性，只要是转手快的东西，越是涨就越有人追，于是比特币就水涨船高，越来越多的人开始参与到比特币交易系统当中。并且由于交易需求量极大，甚至一度导致比特币供不应求，于是怎么办呢？哼哼，某老板想到了个土办法。炒比特币有风险，可我本钱大啊，我完全可以买个几千台电脑挂上网去挖矿卖啊！都几十美金一枚了，谁不挖谁傻啊。 于是一个崭新的行业：“比特币矿主”出现了。一个矿主往往拥有几十到几千台比特币矿奴（电脑），而他们一般一挖出来就卖掉，然后再把赚到的钱，投入买更多的电脑，挖更多的币，赚更多的钱。
Humans have a profit-seeking nature, as long as things move fast, the more people go after them, so bitcoin rises, and more and more people get involved in the Bitcoin trading system. And because of the high demand for trade, even at one point, bitcoin is not enough.
（规模较大的比特矿场）
♪ Bigger bit mine ♪
当然，由于现在大量专业矿机和旷工的加入，普通玩家贡献沉余计算来获得比特币的几率已经很低很低了，低到可以忽略不计。于是，散户们在挖不到足够比特币的情况下，又想赚钱的话该怎么办呢？咳咳，当然就只有加入炒币大军这条路可选了。
Of course, due to the large number of specialized mine machines and absenteeism now, the chances of ordinary players contributing surplus to getting bitcoin are low and negligible. So, what if the swarms want to make money when they can't dig enough bitcoins? Cough, of course, is the only option.
就这样，游戏进入了第三阶段。经过全民炒币的后果，金融巨头除了收获一路暴涨之外，更大的收获就是让比特币的市场价格能够在一定时期内保持稳定。为什么呢？因为这么多人天天在挂单交易，每天几十万手上下，你只要有比特币，分分钟就能卖出去。所以，变现十分容易？同时，比特币是一个不记名任何国家的，也不依托于任何平台存在的电子符号，所以它几乎无法被监管。既然如此，相信聪明的你一定想到了：这玩意既不记名，又能随时兑换为钱，不就正好可以用来洗钱、逃税或向境外非法转移资产吗？
This is the third stage of the game. After the consequences of the popular boom, the larger financial giant is able to keep the market price of Bitcoin stable for a certain period of time. Why not? Because so many people trade single-handedly, with hundreds of thousands of hands a day, you can sell it in minutes. So, now, it's easy. And, at the same time, Bitcoin is an anonymous country and not dependent on any platform for electronic symbols, so it can hardly be regulated. So you must think that smart enough to believe that this thing is anonymous and can be converted into money at any time, just to be used for money-laundering, tax evasion or illegal transfer of assets abroad.
所以，这玩意发展到今天，很有可能发展成一个金融病毒般的存在，和Q币之类的虚拟道具压根不是一码事。比如Q币就必须依托QQ和虚拟商城存在，一旦去掉了这些，它立刻就分文不值了。同时Q币只能用人民币购买消费，不能在腾讯公司的任何平台上以任何方式重新把Q币变回人民币。所以Q币不会暴涨，也不会暴跌，更不存在金融风险，但比特币明显具有极高的风险。因此面对这个连诞生者都是匿名的神秘电子货币，我国还是采取了足够的警惕，央行表示：“比特币”不是货币，而是虚拟道具类的商品。
So, today, this thing is likely to develop into a financial virus-like existence, and virtual props like the Queen, which must be based on QQ and the Virtual City, and which, once removed, will be worthless. At the same time, Q coins can only be used to buy and consume, and cannot in any way be retransmitted to the renminbi on any platform of the telecommunications company. So Q coins do not soar, nor fall, nor do they pose financial risks, but bitcoins are clearly extremely risky.
央行这一句话威力在哪里呢？威力就在于：如果承认是货币，那么货币之间就可以兑换。你可以想象一下，假设你开的论坛里面所产生的积分可以被承认是货币的话，那么你不就可以不断制造论坛积分来拼命换钱了吗？！这画面不要太美。而央行不承认你这是货币，那你的论坛积分就只能和Q币一样，单向购买消费本平台虚拟道具消费。这一下就……
What is the power of the central bank? The power is: if you admit that it is a currency, then it can be exchanged between currencies. You can imagine, assuming that the points generated in the forum you open can be recognized as money, that you can keep building the forum points for money? That's not too beautiful. And if the central bank doesn't recognize you as a currency, then your forum scores can only be as much as Q-dollars to buy the virtual props of the consumer platform.
（央行：不许祸害我种花家）
{\bord0\shad0\alphaH3D}Central Bank: No harm to my flower grower
那么现在开始填上文中挖的那个坑，为什么说炒比特币很容易倾家荡产呢？是因为其交易规则利用了人性的贪婪。人永远都不会嫌钱多的，所以人一旦通过某种行为获利，哪怕一次，就会不断重复进行这种行为。一般而言，劳动最光荣，可是劳动太累。那么如果通过先劳动积累原始资本，再进行创业致富呢？竞争又太激烈，而且谁说创业就不辛苦了，我去，比上班累多了好伐，还有巨大风险。而如果有什么机会，能一天赚一万，甚至是几万，谁又不想试试？
So why do you start filling that hole now? Because the rules of the deal take advantage of the greed of humanity. People never have much money, so that once they profit from something, even once, they repeat it. Generally speaking, work is the most honourable, but labour is too heavy. And if you build up raw capital and then start a business for money? Competition is too intense, and anyone who says it's not too hard to start a business, I go a lot harder than work, and there is a huge risk. And if there's an opportunity to make $10,000 a day, even tens of thousands, who doesn't want to try it?
比特币就提供了这种“机会”，尽管这种机会看上去只是一种“可能”。比如当年比特币刚流行起来，国内还没出政策的时候，我同事的一个邻居就上钩了。这家男的本来月薪有七八千，女的月薪有四五千，两口子日子过得还算不错，一家三口其乐融融。结果后来男的知道了比特币，认为一定会暴涨，就申请拿1000元零花钱“试试”。他对媳妇表示：“就算输了问题也不大，一千块钱而已嘛，但万一赢了呢？”可巧的是，他进入的时候正是比特币价格便宜且一路上涨的时候，每天几涨几落十分刺激，大概两天时间就赚了7.5万元之多。
Bitcoin offered this kind of “opportunity” even though it seemed to be a “possibility.” For example, when Bitcoin first became popular, and the country did not have a policy, one of my colleagues’ neighbors took the bait. The man was supposed to be paid 78,000 a month, the woman was paid 45,000 a month, and two had a good life, and one of the three were happy. Then the man found out about Bitcoin, and he thought he was bound to go up and apply for $1,000.
这一下，小伙终于神清气爽了。可是，他不会认为这只是数据随机的结果，他反而会认为是自己有比旁人更高超的手法和独到的眼光。加上他长期喜欢信奉转发巴菲特只是个普通人全靠炒股逆袭成了股神，奥巴马本是个难民全靠发现天赋成为总统之类的低智段子。所以他自信心爆棚，认为成为亿万富豪指日可待，在家说话都牛气了不少。按这脾性下去，就算他真能赚上千万，估计他这个家庭，也迟早会鸡飞蛋打。
But he doesn't think it's just random data, and he thinks he's got a better hand and a better eye than anyone else. And he's long-standing in his belief that retransmitting Buffett is just a common man's share-playing backlash, and that Obama was a refugee who found talent to be president. So he's got a lot of confidence in himself, thinking he's a billionaire and talking at home. If he makes millions of dollars, he'll probably have a family that sooner or later.
不过显然好运只是暂时的，第三天他就赔掉了一半。小伙一下就变得精神萎靡，冲动易怒起来。通常旁观者会认为就算如此至少还白捡了三万啊，此时退出不就好了吗？ 可是小伙不会这样想啊。他会认为：“好不容易我成为了一个日收入7万的高级人士，如今要跌回中产阶层靠工资？那种日子岂能是我这种天之骄子所应该过的？” 于是，他就决定加大投入，挽回损失。结果第四天，不仅把赚的都赔光，而且还倒赔了2万多进去。再后来，整个人就不上班了，放弃了一切扑在电脑上想要翻本，不断从储蓄卡里取钱，直到家徒四壁……
But it's obvious that luck is only temporary, and he loses half of it on the third day. So, the kid gets in a state of discomfort and gets angry. Usually, the bystanders think it's better to quit even if they've collected at least 30,000 dollars for nothing. But the guy doesn't think so. "It's not easy for me to be a high-ranking person who earns 70,000 a day, now falls back to the middle class for his salary.
没有赌博过的人，或没有经历过股灾的人很难理解这种心态，就好像没有吸过毒的人很难理解为什么毒品戒不掉一样。但这的确就是参与投机获利之后人的必然心态。因为来钱容易，所以赢了还想赢，然后随着投机行为的持续，出现亏本的几率必然越来越大。 而假设一开始就输了呢？这时人会一直耿耿于怀，心想：“刚才我买跌，结果它涨了，要是我买涨的话，现在不知翻多少倍了。” 于是越想越生气，必然会再拿钱出来试图把输掉的“赢回来”。
People who haven’t gambled, or who have not experienced equity damage, are hard to understand this mentality, as if those who have not done drugs could not understand why the drug should stop. That’s what happens when they take part in speculation for profit. Because money is easy, they want to win, and then, as speculation continues, their chances of losing will grow.
任何交易平台都不可能是一条直线地一直上涨，在每天的交易过程中都存在交易价格的剧烈波动。因此不管大盘走势怎么样，每天都会有人输钱。当然大盘涨的时候散户玩家输的几率要低一些，而大盘跌的时候散户玩家只能十死无生。可一旦上瘾，就很难戒掉了。现实中，好赌好毒的人几乎没有一个最终不是一事无成，或家破人亡的。所以，大家还是多多学习，加强两学一做，增强自信，踏实努力，掌握社会主义核心价值观，关注今日平说，了解最新动态，才有可能一步步完成人生逆袭。
No trading platform can be a straight-up rise, and there is a high volatility in the price of transactions every day. So, no matter how big a deal goes, people lose money every day. Of course, when a big one rises, the chances are lower, while when a big one falls, the players die. But when they get addicted, it is hard to stop.
好了，这篇八卦写得辛苦，各位看官感觉有益的话，就打个赏呗。顺便多提醒身边朋友，不要参与此类投机，提醒就是积德。
Well, it's a hard story, and if you guys feel good about it, let's give it a reward. And by the way, remind your friends not to be involved in this kind of speculation, it's Jed.
今日平说 | 独家原创 侵权必究 转载需注明
Today Ping says,,
来自网易号：周小平同志
From Cyber Easy: Comrade Zhou Xiaoping
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