涨疯了!突破5.2万美元一枚,一年时间翻超2倍,比特币价格再次站在2021年的高位,带动加密货币上涨行情。
It's crazy! Breaking 52,000 dollars a year, twice the time, and the Bitcoin price again standing at the top of 2021, driving the encrypt currency up.
智通财经APP了解到,近期加密货币行情火热,其中比特币最为抢眼,该币从2022年11月底低位(约1.54万美元一枚)一路上涨并接近原来的高度,于今年2月15日突破5.2万美元,涨幅高达238%,而在比特币带动下,以太币及比特黄金等多个主流币趋势性翻倍。
Intelligent finance has learned, through APP, that recent encoded currency is hot, with bitcoin being the hottest, rising from its low position at the end of November 2022 (about $154,000) to near its original height, reaching $52,000 on 15 February of this year, up by 238 per cent, while, under Bitcoin-led, the trend of multiple mainstream currencies, such as Tetco and Bit Gold, has doubled.
比特币价格持续大涨主要有三大原因:一是得到多国及地区认可,尤其是美国,价值被肯定,吸引机构投资,在今年1月份美国已批准首批11只现货比特币ETF上市,而香港首只比特币ETF也在准备中;二是比特币今年4月将迎来减半,每个区块的奖励从6.25个币降至3.125个币,四年一次减半驱动上涨;三是市场得到认可,在避险情绪下,资金逐步从股市,基市及债市等资本市场流入至加密货币市场。
There are three main reasons for the continued sharp increase in Bitcoin prices: first, the recognition of multi-country and regional recognition, particularly in the United States, where values have been recognized and institutional investment has been attracted, with the first 11 spot bitcoin ETFs approved for listing in the United States in January of this year, while the first bitcoin ETF in Hong Kong is in preparation; secondly, Bitcoins will be halved in April of this year, with incentives reduced from 6.25 to 3.125 in each block, driven by a four-year increase; and thirdly, markets have been recognized and, in a sense of risk, capital markets, such as equity, base and debt markets, are gradually flowing into encrypted currency markets.
值得注意的是,比特币价格波动带来概念股的投资热,而港股比特币概念股并不多,包括美图(01357)、雄安科技(01647)、欧科云链(01499)以及新火科技(01611),前三家持有加密货币,而新火科技除了持币外,还是加密货币交易所,概念最为纯正。那么,哪一家最值得关注呢?
It is worth noting that bitcoin price fluctuations bring about a high investment interest in the concept, while the port share of bitcoin does not have much in the concept, including Metto (01357), Yoon-An-Technology (011647), Oco-Yun-Technology (01499), and New Fire Technology (01611), the first three holding encrypted currency, while new fire technology, in addition to holding currency, is the most pure of concepts. Which is the most interesting one?
比特币强势,多因素驱动走牛
Bitcoin is strong. Multiple forces drive the cow.
概念股能否走牛,首先得是比特币保持上升趋势。实际上比特币从诞生到现在,质疑一直未中断过,但无价值论者每年都会被比特币价格打脸,如今比特币也能和黄金等贵金属一样,具有储藏价值,甚至部分国家采纳为国家储备。去年初美国推出比特币ETF后,各地区也相继跟上,尤其是香港,让散户也能参与投资加密货币市场。
In fact, bitcoin has remained unstopped since its birth, but valueless people have been beaten by bitcoins every year, and now Bitcoins can be held up as precious metals, such as gold, and even as national reserves. With the introduction of bitcoinsETF in the US early last year, regions have followed suit, especially Hong Kong, to allow the diaspora to participate in the investment of encrypted currency markets.
机构活跃参与是比特币价格的最大推手,根据数据显示,在美国批准的10多只现货比特币ETF,包括来自贝莱德、方舟投资(Ark Investments)、21Shares 、富达、景顺、VanEck等11家资管机构的产品。新推出的现货比特币ETF持续吸引资金流入,这也为加密货币市场带来巨额的增量资金。
The agency’s active involvement is the biggest push for bitcoin prices. According to data, more than 10 spot bitcoin ETFs have been approved in the United States, including products from 11 financial institutions such as Belet, Ark Investments, 21Shares, Fuda, Gyeong-soon, and Van Eck.
海外政策、投资机构以及散户可交易等都在往加密货币市场倾斜,再加上挖矿减半的影响,比特币很难不走牛。其实2020年比特币减半,造就了超十倍收益率,而今2024年再次减半,给市场留有想象空间。不过现在价格来到了前高位,风险也将更高,要走出上一次减半的收益注定要更加艰难。
Overseas policies, investment agencies, and wholesaler tradables are tilting toward an encrypted currency market, and the impact of mining by half makes it difficult for bitcoins to keep up with cattle. Indeed, by 2020, bitcoins were halved, creating more than 10 times the rate of return, and by 2024 they are now halved, leaving room for imagination.
但中短期而言,海外良好的投资环境正催生加密货币的牛市行情,从而使得比特币维持在上升通道。而对于港股市场,也将迎来联动行情,节后港股投资信心恢复,比特币概念跟随比特币价格同向波动,资金流入明显,数字货币板块近三周涨幅超过10%,其中新火科技及雄岸科技涨幅均超过20%。
But, in the short and medium term, a favourable investment climate abroad is creating an encoded currency’s cattle market, which keeps Bitcoin on the rise. For the Hong Kong stock market, there will also be a connection, and confidence in the Hong Kong stock will be restored. The Bitcoin concept follows the same price of Bitcoin, capital inflows are clear, and the digital currency plate has increased by more than 10% over the last three weeks, with both new fire technologies and more than 20% of the male shore.
欧科云链重仓,美图或赚超4亿
O'Cowin's chain is full, and the map is worth more than $400 million.
新火科技 是港股最纯正的比特币概念股,主要提供虚拟资产交易以及提供技术解决方案服务,其中虚拟资产交易包括向客户提供虚拟资产借贷资产管理以及提供场外交易平台,充当交易所功能。2023财年其场外交易产生的收益及借贷管理服务收入为28.11亿港元,占比总收入99.19%。
The new fire technology is the most pure bitcoin concept unit in the Port Unit, providing mainly virtual asset transactions and technical solutions services, in which virtual asset transactions include virtual asset-lending asset management to clients and off-site trading platforms to serve as exchange functions. Revenues from off-site transactions and lending management services in 2023 amounted to HK$ 2,811 million, or 99.19 per cent of total revenue.
该公司于2021年退出中国市场后,发展情况并不乐观,且存在较大的债务问题,截止2023年9月,该公司计息债务有4.67亿元,占比总资产及净资产分别达62.3%及219.2%。这也导致该公司于2023财年不断变卖旗下资产,出售了Win Techno Inc、Animoca Brands Corporation Limited以及品頂實、品德國際、品捷及雅沛等一起打包出售,另外在建议出售的如New Huo Solutions Limited、HBTPower Limited及HBTPower Inc。根据财报显示,该公司的非流动资产,内地、日本及美国资产清零,仅剩下香港0.77亿港元。
As of September 2023, the company's interest-bearing debt amounted to $467 million, or 62.3 per cent of total and 2192 per cent of net assets, respectively, which led to the company's constant sale of its assets under the flag in 2023, the sale of Win Techno Inc., Animoca Brands Corporation Limited and the sale of best products, virtues and internationals, delta and Yape, together with Hong Kong HK$ 0.77 billion of its non-current assets, including inland, Japanese and United States assets, according to the finance report.
新火科技有两只基金产品占比总资产在5%以上,分别是新世界先锋矿业基金及NH Investment SPC,截止2023年,面值分别为5780万港元及1.069亿港元,合计占比总资产22.03%,其持有加密货币公允价值约为0.73亿港元。从去年9月至今,比特币涨幅达92%,预计该公司加密货币公允价值将带来近0.7亿港元收益。
Two new fire technologies account for more than 5 per cent of total assets: 值得一提的是,在持币的概念股中,欧科云链胆子是最肥的,因为“重仓”了数字货币。该公司主要从事地基、楼宇建筑工程及配套服务、建筑废物处理服务及数字资产相关业务,根据2024财年半年报,其数字资产高达8亿港元,占比总资产达75%。 It is worth mentioning that, in the concept of currency-holding, the Ocowin chain is the fattest because of the digital currency that is “heavy.” The company is mainly involved in foundations, building construction and support services, construction waste treatment services and digital assets. According to the semi-annual report for the 2024 fiscal year, its digital assets amount to HK$800 million, or 75 per cent of its total assets. 根据披露,该公司持有比特币1725个,持有以太坊6571个,合计价值占比总资产43%,另有21.7%资产持有稳定币。若持币数量不变,按目前两个币价算,该公司持有比特币及以太坊价值分别为6.99亿港元及1.5亿港元,从去年9月至今合计赚了近4亿港元,是截止2023年9月净资产的201%。预计欧科云链于2024财年下半年及2025财年上半年都有不错的盈利记录。 According to the disclosure, the company held 1725 bitcoins, 6571 in Ethio, with a combined value of 43% of total assets, and 21.7% in stable currencies. If the number of coins held remained constant, the company held 699 million Hong Kong dollars and 150 million Hong Kong dollars in the current two-currency prices, respectively, making a total of nearly 400 million Hong Kong dollars from September last year to date, representing 201% of the net assets as of September 2023. The Ocowin chain is expected to have a good profit record in the second half of the 2024s and the first half of the 2025s. 另外,美图公司主要从事影像设计、美业解决方案以及广告业务,收入分别贡献了47.7%、23.75%及27.7%,加密货币是闲钱投资,不纳入收入分录,作为金融资产列账。截止2023年6月,该公司持有比特币940.497个,持有以太坊3.1万个,两只合计持币成本占比总资产约10%。 In addition, the company is mainly involved in video design, United States industry solutions, and advertising, with revenues contributing 47.7%, 23.75% and 27.7%, respectively, and the encoded currency is an investment in idle money that is not included in the income ledger and is accounted for as a financial asset. As of June 2023, the company held 940.497 bitcoins, 31,000 in Ethio, with two combined holdings at a cost of about 10% of total assets. 按照目前币价,该公司持有的比特币及以太坊价值分别为3.51亿元及6.53亿元,而根据半年报披露的成本,至目前持比特币赚1.61亿元,持以太坊赚2.88亿元,合计赚4.5亿元。该公司基本面尚可,历史业绩增收不增利,净利润常年亏损,近两年盈利但净利率较低,今年持币赚的已然超过其业务经营水平。 At current currency prices, the company holds the amount of bitcoins and the value of Etheria at $351 million and $653 million, respectively, while, according to the cost disclosed in the semi-annual report, it currently earns $161 million in bitcoins and $288 million in Ethers, making a total of $450 million. The company’s basic profile is still good, its historical performance has not increased, its net profits are consistently lost, it has earned profits for almost two years but its net interest rates are low, and it earned more than its business performance this year. 雄安科技从事楼宇服务及建造工程服务,另有数字货币业务,截止2023年9月其数字货币存货约有369.8万新加坡元,约等于人民币0.2亿元,占比总资产为5.66%。比特币价格波动对该公司业绩影响较小,其业绩也不好看,收入呈现波动性,已持续多年亏损,相比于其他概念股吸引力较弱。 Yon An Tsi is engaged in building and construction engineering services, as well as in digital currency operations, which, as of September 2023, had a digital currency inventory of approximately S$ 3.6998 million, equivalent to RMB 120 million, or 5.66% of the total assets. Bitcoin price fluctuations have a lesser impact on the company’s performance, have a less positive performance, have a more volatile income, and have sustained a loss for many years, which is less attractive than other concepts. 综合看来,比特币价格上涨最大的受益标的显然是欧科云链,该公司将比特币投资当做主营业务来做,资产占比高,且同时拥有比特币及以太坊两大强势货币,赚点盆满钵满。不过需要注意的是,该公司原有业务业绩差,营收持续多年下滑,高度依赖比特币,若出现不利走势,对业绩影响也将是巨大的。 Taken together, the biggest beneficiary of the price increases in Bitcoin is clearly the Ocowin chain, where the company invests in bitcoin as its main business, with a high asset share, and has two powerful currencies – Bitcoin and Taiku – making a full profit. But it is important to note that the company’s previous business performance is poor, its revenue has been declining for many years, and its dependence on bitcoin is high, and the impact on performance will be significant if there is a negative trend. 美图是比较稳健的公司,持有的币值也不低,在这场大涨中也获得了不错的收益率,相比于欧科云链,即便比特币价格回撤,对整体的业绩影响有限。此外,新火科技虽为最纯正的概念股,但前瞻性不足,持有币值低,且深陷债务,而雄安科技概念最弱,持有币值也低,业绩或难以支撑其行情持续。 Moreover, new fire technologies, though the most pure conceptual shares, are not sufficiently forward-looking, hold low, and are heavily indebted, while the most weak, low-value-holding concepts, and performance are difficult to sustain. 当然板块投资热度正盛,比特币中短期强势仍助推相关概念股走高,可重点关注美图公司及欧科云链。 Of course, the plate investment is hot, and the short- and medium-term strength of Bitcoin still contributes to the higher share of related concepts, with a focus on map companies and the Ocowin chain.
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