经历了今年以来的暴涨急跌,比特币12日迎来奖励减半机制再度生效,其价格并未出现前几次减半机制生效后的上扬,仍在上周暴跌时的9000美元以下徘徊。分析人士指出,新冠肺炎疫情下金融市场变化加剧了数字货币震荡不确定性。
After a sharp rise and fall since this year, Bitcoin’s 12th reward for halving has come into effect, and its prices have not risen since the previous half-time mechanism came into effect, still hovering below $9,000 at the time of the collapse last week. According to analysts, changes in financial markets in the wake of the new crown pneumonia epidemic have exacerbated the uncertainty of digital currency shocks.
“减半”是比特币一种特有的发行机制。按照中本聪2008年底发布的比特币白皮书,这一机制在比特币诞生之际就已被设计好。作为比特币获取方式的挖矿回报是每开采一个区块获得12.5个比特币。在本周减半之后,回报将降到6.25个新比特币。
The “50-per-cent” is a unique distribution mechanism for Bitcoin. According to the Bitcoin White Paper issued by China-Hebon at the end of 2008, this mechanism was designed when Bitcoin was born.
此次“减半”是比特币11年历史中的第三次,早已备受期待。前两次减半都曾引发比特币市值大幅飙升,但一些分析师称,这一次受疫情影响,震荡在所难免,但方向难料。
This “50-per-cent” is the third time in the 11-year history of Bitcoin, and is already expected. The first two halves triggered a sharp rise in Bitcoin’s market value, but some analysts say that this time the epidemic was affected and the shock was inevitable, but the direction is unpredictable.
“从有效市场角度而言,任何对减半的基本反应到这时都应该在价格中有很大程度的反映了。”GAIN Capital市场研究全球主管威勒表示。今年比特币价格一度涨幅超过20%,但在“减半”生效前夕遭遇约10%的暴跌。
“From an effective market perspective, any basic response to halving should be reflected to a large extent in prices.” GAIN Capital Market Research Director Wille said. Bitcoin prices rose by more than 20% this year, but fell by about 10% before the “50-percent” came into effect.
今年初的上涨行情反映了机构投资人对全球通胀预期的担忧。Tudor投资公司创办人兼执行官琼斯说,各国大规模推出财政与货币宽松措施,可能推升通胀,他买进比特币以应对通胀升高风险。
The rise at the beginning of this year reflected corporate investors’ concerns about global inflation expectations. The founder and executive of Tudor Investment, Jones, said that large-scale fiscal and monetary easing in countries could boost inflation by buying bitcoins to cope with higher inflation risks.
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