合约江湖
Contract
一、均线
i.e. mean
均线又称移动平均线,简称。MA是一个重要的指标，使用简洁明了，非常清晰的显示出市场的运行轨迹，帮助我们对于整个K线形态进行更多的匹配和融合，把不同的K线形态和指标融合在一块，寻找到最佳的行情趋势变化。
The mean line is also known as the moving mean line, short term. MA is an important indicator, using a simple and clear picture of the market's track, helping us to match and integrate more of the whole K-line pattern, to integrate different K-line patterns and indicators, and to find the best behavioral trends.
二、什么是移动平均线？
II, what's a moving mean line?
移动平均线原理很简单，就是将一定时间范围内的收盘价的平均值画在K线图中，并把这些平均值的点连接起来形成一条线,就构成了均线。
The principle of moving the average line is simple, i.e. to draw the average value of collected prices over a certain time frame in a K-line map and to connect the points of these averages into a line, which constitutes the average line.
均线也可以作为趋势线指标，K线运行在均线之上时强势，持续上涨几率大。K线运行在均线之下是弱势，持续下跌几率大。
The mean line can also be used as a trend line indicator, where the K line is strong when it runs above the mean line and continues to rise at a very high rate. The K line is weak below the mean line and continues to fall at a very high rate.
三、设置MA指标：
iii. Set MA indicator:
常用设置为：5.10.30.60.120。如果设置5日线就填写数字5。
The usual setting is 5.10.30.60.120. If you have a 5-day line, enter the number 5.
均线最初是以股市的交易日期为准设置，而币市是7*24不间断交易，所以相应的指标可以根据个人习惯有所调整，比如7天、14天、30天、90天、180天等
The average line was originally set on the date of the stock market and the currency market was 7*24 uninterrupted transactions, so the corresponding indicators could be adjusted according to personal habits, such as 7 days, 14 days, 30 days, 90 days, 180 days, etc.
24小时合约市场爆仓超4.81亿美元 BTC合约爆仓3.05亿美元:据合约帝行情统计报告显示：过去24小时合约市场全网总计爆仓4.81亿美元，爆仓人数70645人。其中，Huobi爆仓1.1亿美元，OKEx爆仓3379万美元，BitMEX爆仓1474万美元，Binance爆仓1.91亿美元，Bybit爆仓1.31亿美元。爆仓金额前三的币种是BTC3.05亿美元，ETH9453万美元，XRP458万美元。[2021/3/8 18:25:35]
The 24-hour contract market explosion exceeded $481 million by $305 million: According to the contract manager's statistics report, the total of the 24-hour contract market was $481 million, with 70645 persons. Of this amount, the Huobi explosion was $110 million, the OKEx explosion was $33.79 million, the BitMEX explosion was $14.74 million, the Binance explosion was $191 million and the Bybit explosion was $131 million. The top three currencies were BTC $3005 million, ETH94.53 million and XRP 45.58 million. [2021/3/8 18:25:35]
四、均线的不同周期及应用：
Different cycles and applications of mean lines:
按时间长短均线可分为:短期移动平均线、中期移动平均线、长期移动平均线。
The lines are divided into short-term moving averages, medium-term moving averages and long-term moving averages.
短期波动用5日，10日，5周均线。
Short-term fluctuations are 5 days, 10 days, 5 weeks average.
中期行情用30日线，60日均线。
In the medium-term line, use the 30-day line and the 60-day average line.
长期趋势用120日或者360日线级别。
Long-term trends range from 120 days to 360 days.
在金融市场里,20、30、60、120、200,均线指标,通常对价格中长线走势起到决定性作用。其中30日和60日均线为中线生命线，它们的方向代表着价格趋势是多头、空头或盘整，120、200日均线是牛熊生命线。
In financial markets, 20, 30, 60, 120, 200 mean-line indicators are usually decisive for long-line trends in prices. The 30 and 60 mean-lines are medium-line lifelines, and their direction represents a multi-head, empty or round-up price trend, while the 120, 200-day mean-line is a lifeline for cattle bears.
BTC现报价56253.17USDT，BTC千倍合约开多人数占优:AOFEX交易大数据显示，截至今日10:30，BTC千倍合约多空持仓人数比为1.12，市场做多人数暂时占优。BTC现报价56253.17USDT，24H涨幅9.55%；ETH现报价1955.36USDT，24H涨幅2.01%；LTC现报价245.0USDT，24H涨幅8.71%。AOFEX数字货币金融衍生品交易所，旨在为用户提供优质服务和资产安全保障。[2021/2/20 17:33:06]
BTC’s current offer is 56253.17 USDT, BTC’s multi-fold contract offer is excellent: AOFEX trade big data show that, as of today, BTC’s 10:30 million-fold contract has had more empty warehouse holdings than 1.12, and the market is temporarily better. BTC’s current offer is 56253.17 USDT, 24H increase by 9.55%; ETH’s present offer is 1955.36 USDT, 24H increase by 2.01%; LTC’s current offer is 245.0USDT, 24H increase by 8.71%. AOFEX’s financial derivatives exchange is designed to provide high-quality services and asset security to users [2021/2/20 17:33:06].
举例5日线：通常价格偏离5日线较远时，会回调，5日线为反应速度较快的一个短期均线。10日线和5日线作用差不多。
For example, the 5th line: usually the price deviates further away from the 5th line, the 5th line is a short-term average line that reacts faster. The 10th and 5th line functions in the same way.
如图，为了方便大家看图，只设置了5日线。图中可以看到所有价格的K线图，要么收盘位置，要么开盘位置，都是贴着均线运行。周期越短的均线与K线越贴合。
As you can see, for ease of viewing, only a five-day line is in place. The K-line of all prices can be seen in the graph, either closing or opening, and running with the mean line. The shorter the average line of the cycle, the closer it is to the K-line.
五、均线的倾斜方向和角度：
V. Tilt direction and angle of the mean line:
58COIN交易所永续合约大户持仓情况20:00播报:截至20:00，据58COIN交易所官方永续合约数据，大户持仓情况如下：
According to data from the 58COIN exchange's official permanent contracts, as of 2000 hours, the large household holdings were as follows:
BTC永续合约账户中，多头平均持仓比例为19.71%、空头平均持仓比例为17.50%，多头暂时领先，领先数量（净头寸数量）为0.16万个BTC。
The BTC has an average warehouse holding of 19.71 per cent, an average warehouse holding of 17.50 per cent, a temporary lead and a leading number (net position) of 0.160,000 BTC in BTC accounts.
EOS永续合约账户中，多头平均持仓比例为16.65%、空头平均持仓比例为17.11%，空头暂时领先，领先数量（净头寸数量）为32.77万个EOS。
In the EOS permanent contract accounts, the average share of multiple warehouses is 16.65 per cent, the average share of empty warehouses is 17.11 per cent, the number of empty positions is temporarily ahead, and the number of leading figures (net positions) is 32,77,000 EOS.
ETH永续合约账户中，多头平均持仓比例为15.38%、空头平均持仓比例为18.82%，空头暂时领先，领先数量（净头寸数量）为2.72万个ETH。[2020/4/21]
In the ETH permanent contract account, the average share of multiple warehouses was 15.38 per cent, the average share of empty warehouses was 18.82 per cent, and the number of empty positions (in net position) was temporarily ahead, with 27.2 million ETHs.[2020/4/21]
均线向上倾斜：为上涨行情。向下倾斜：为下跌行情。均线方向水平，代表横盘，波动小。
The average line is tilted upwards: for upscaling. For downwards: for downslidings. The mean line level, which is representative of the crossbow, is less volatile.
均线上扬走势为最佳，明显的向下则不选择介入。
The best move is on the mean line, and the obvious downwards do not opt for intervention.
均线向上角度过陡，行情持续时间短，价格波动大。
The mean line is steep upwards, has a short duration and has high price volatility.
CME比特币期货3月合约收跌6.8%:金色财经报道，成交量最高的CME比特币期货2020年3月合约今日收跌400美元，收报4930美元，跌幅6.8%。2020年4月、5月和6月合约分别收报4945美元、4935美元和4935美元。[2020/3/17]
The March CME bitcoin futures contract fell by 6.8 per cent: Gold money reports that the CMEbitco futures with the highest turnover fell by $400 today in March 2020, receiving $4930, or 6.8 per cent, in April, May and June 2020, receiving $4945, $4935 and $4935, respectively.[2020/3/17]
均线向下角度越大，下跌幅度越大，价格波动也越大。
The greater the downward angle of the mean line, the greater the decline and the greater the volatility of prices.
45度向上为完美角度，稳步上升。
45 degrees up the perfect angle, rising steadily.
六、多条均线组合形态：分为：缠绕、发散。
6. Multi-wire combination form: divided into: entangled, dispersed.
①在明显上涨或下跌行情时，各周期均线基本依次向上或向下排列，此状态为均线发散。依次向上为多头排列，依次向下为空头排列。
1. In the case of a marked rise or drop in rows, the cycle average line is arranged essentially upwards or downwards, and this state is dispersed. The line is arranged up and down and down as empty.
②均线从发散转入缠绕时，代表行情上涨或者下跌力度变弱，短期均线会围绕长期均线上下波动，越长时间的缠绕，爆发的力度越大，可理解横盘筑底时间越长，涨幅越大。此阶段操作，观望或短线操作为宜。
When the two averages move from circulation to entanglement, they represent a rise in or decrease in the intensity of the movement. The short-term averages fluctuate around the long-term mean line, and the longer they entangle, the greater the intensity of the outbreak, the longer it takes to construct the floor, the greater the increase.
七、均线的金叉死叉：
7 gold fork on average:
①传统的短期均线金叉，指短期均线上穿长期均线，比如5日线上穿10日线，如果均线全部向上发散，价格一直维持在5日线和10日线上的过程，预示着价格上升。这种状况出现，如果带着增量，看多概率相当大。
A traditional short-term average line, gold fork, refers to long-term averages on short-term averages, such as the 10-day line on the 5-day line, which, if all of them are scattered upwards, remains on the 5- and 10-day line, predicting price increases. This situation, if accompanied by an increase, is likely to be quite high.
②当短期均线向下穿过中长期均线形成的交叉叫做死亡交叉，死叉。预示币价将下跌。
2 When the short-term mean line goes down through the medium- and long-term mean line, the intersection is called the death cross.
备注：不是所有的黄金交叉和死亡交叉都是买进和卖出点。有些可能是庄家进行震荡洗盘或震荡出货。
Note: Not all gold intersects and dies with buying and selling points. Some may be tremors or tremors.
八、在实际操作中：
VIII, in practice:
判断依据：K线运行在均线上还是线下、K线与均线距离的远近、均线本身的形态是上扬，水平还是向下、均线倾斜的角度等。
The basis of the judgement is whether the K line is running on or below the average line, the distance between the K line and the average line, whether the average line itself is in the form of an upward, horizontal or downward, tilted angle, etc.
举例:K线在各个均线之上，且均线倾斜上扬，则行情处于上涨趋势中。
Example: Line K is above the mean line and the flat line is tilted upwards, which is in the upward trend.
没有任何一种指标是万能的，均线也一样，并不是任何行情都可以参考均线，比如行情震荡时，均线就会形成粘合状态，没有明显的运行方向，这时的均线是不可信的。
There is no single indicator that is all-powerful, even-lined, and not everything that can be referred to, such as condensed condensation in the event of a tremors, without a clear direction of operation, which is not credible.
由于移动平均线是根据价格的平均数计算的，所以反应有一点滞后，周期越长，滞后性越明显，但稳定性更强，所以根据自己的操作习惯选取适当的均线。常用为，5日线、10日线。
Since the moving mean line is calculated on the basis of average prices, the reaction lags somewhat, the longer the cycle, the more obvious the lag, but with greater stability, the appropriate mean line is chosen according to its own operational habits.
均线的规律性较强，如果最近的价格沿着均线的轨迹向上运行，一旦出现下跌，跌破这根均线，一定要提高警惕。
The homogeneity of the line is more regular, and vigilance must be exercised if recent prices follow the homogeneity of the line and if they fall and break it.
大家可以依次看各个级别均线，把这一条均线摸透了，再增加其他辅助判断的均线。多实践，合理运用。
You can look at the same line at every level in turn, so you can see it through, and then add the same line to other supporting judgements. Multi-practices, rational application.
贰.掌门晒单
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掌门合约记录表掌门近期总单数：35胜率：80%每日策略单详情在文章最下方↓↓↓
The most recent single number at the head of the master contract sheet: 35: 80% of the details of the daily strategy sheet are at the bottom of the article.
掌门社群粉丝晒单
star community viewers
.掌门说币
. Keynote
合约大数据
contract big data
K线技术分析
K-line technical analysis
BTC日线图
BTC Sun Line
从日线来看，布林带向下有一定收口迹象，币价目前跌至中轨下方，空头量能增大。MA5继续向下，MA10上升转平，而MA30大周期还在上升形成一定支撑。MACD虽然还是在0轴上方，但是量能已经十分微弱，线型暂收倒锤形，表面上方抛压严重，所以短期的行情还是以做空为主。
As far as the sun is concerned, the Bryn belt shows some signs of closing down, and the currency is now falling below the middle track, with an increase in empty head. MA5 continues to go down, MA10 is flattening, and the MA30 cycle is still rising to support it. The MACD, though still above the 0 axis, is already very weak, the linear hammer is temporarily down, and the surface is high, so short-term behavior is still dominated by emptyness.
BTC4小时图
BTC 4-hour map
比特币4小时K线图，布林带转平，币价运行在中下轨，MA30继续向下，MA5MA10有缠绕现象，多空在此分歧加大，量能持续低迷，表面散户投资者交易兴趣不大，短期开单一定要注意开单位置，尽量不抗单。操作建议：现价6793|支撑6500|压力6900
Bitcoin's four-hour K-line map, Boolin's flat, currency's running out of track, MA30's going down, MA5MA10's entanglement, and there's a lot of disagreement here, and it's going down, and there's not much interest on the surface of the bulk investors. Short-term billing must be done with care to open the unit and try not to resist the bill.
今日策略：
Strategy today:
谨慎多单：6730一带做多，止损6650，止盈6850
Prudent order: 6730 area more, 6650 damage, 6850 surplus
稳健多单：6550一带做多，止损6480，止盈6750
Stable list: 6550 strips do more, 6480 damage, 6750 surplus
激进空单：6850一带做空，止损6900，止盈6750
Radical blanks: 6850 strips empty, 6900 cut, 6750 surplus
稳健空单：7000一带做空，止损7100，止盈6800
Steady air sheet: 7000 strips empty, 7100 cut, 6800 run-off.
做合约，大部分只需要做比特币即可，其他币种也基本联动比特币，所以其他币种掌门在这就不浪费口舌了，如果有疑问，可私聊掌门。
Most of the contracts are made in bitcoin, and the rest of the currencies are largely linked to bitcoin, so it is not a waste of speech at the head of the other currencies, and if there is any doubt, you can talk about it in private.
风险提示：本文仅代表个人观点，数字货币是一种高风险的投资方式，请投资者谨慎参与，在决定买卖之前慎重考虑本人能够承受风险的程度，注意投资风险。
Risk reminder: This paper represents only a personal point of view, and digital currency is a high-risk investment modality, involving investors in a prudent manner, considering the extent to which they are able to withstand risks before deciding to buy and sell, and paying attention to investment risks.
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