近期如果有人要装机,我在这里只能劝您一句:冷静!因为显卡马上就崩盘了。你或许会问:显卡不少都破发了不是已经崩了吗?那你就错了,时间节点马上到来,且看我们分析有没有道理。
In the near future, if someone wants to load it, I can only say to you, "Calm down, because the card is going to crash. You might ask, "Didn't the card break? You're wrong, the time node is coming, and we're going to have a reason to analyze it?
Eth合并时间是关键
显卡挖矿,主要是挖ETH,也就是以太坊。当然也可以挖别的,但这个相对来说出品稳定得多。现在由于虚拟货币暴跌,加上ETH将在9月15日合并不能再用GPU挖,所以很多人以为矿工们都关机不挖了,所以市面上显卡很多都是矿卡。那你就错了。
The card digs, mostly Ether, but it's much more stable. Now, because of the fall in virtual currency and the fact that the ETH will be merged on September 15 and no longer dig with GPU, many people think the miners shut down, so many of the cards on the market are mine cards. You're wrong.
首先要说的是,就在前几天,全网ETH算力依旧是巅峰状态的8成左右,也就是说还有大量的GPU都在算ETH,这些GPU的算力总和大约相当于1000万张3070左右,很多矿主会潜移ETC之类的,但那些的收益远不如电价,可以说抛售了一二成的GPU,就已经把GPU打回了首发价、高端卡破发。
First of all, just a few days ago, the full Internet ETH was still about 80 per cent of the peak state, that is to say, a large number of GPUs are counting ETHs, the sum of which amounts to about 10 million units or 3070 units, and many miners are able to move ETCs or something, but those returns are far from the price of electricity, and it can be said that 20 per cent of the GPUs have been sold, and the GPUs have been returned to their initial prices and high-end calculus have broken hair.
所以,这些矿主何去何从?有说自己搞云计算的,有说改行AI的,但我觉得这些说法都很扯蛋。渣渣矿机和AI计算、云计算的服务器两码事。
So, where do these miners go? They say they're doing cloud computing, they're doing AI, but I think they're all bullshit. Slag miners and AI's computing, cloud computing servers are two different things.
如果暴跌……
>.............................................................
都不用多,这些矿卡的一半涌入市场,市面上就会多出几百万张3070左右的显卡,那显然是要互相踩踏了!并且会很严重。这也会导致一个结果,那就是虽然矿卡,但是太便宜了(或许半价?)太香了,玩仨月半年就算回本……
It doesn't have to be a lot more, half of these cards go into the market, and there's a million more cards on the market, and that's obviously going to step on each other! And it's going to be serious. And it's going to end up, and it's going to be too cheap, maybe half price?
这或许会进一步影响英伟达和AMD的新卡定价。过去几年里,由于挖矿,我们从未原价买过显卡,最贵的时候甚至是3倍的价格,并且高端卡也从1080时代的几千元涨到3090Ti的两万元,或许GPU的价格也该回归理性了。
This may further affect the pricing of new cards in British Weida and AMD. Over the past few years, as a result of mining, we have never bought a card at the original price, even three times the price at the most expensive point, and high-end cards have risen from several thousand dollars in the 1080s to 20,000 dollars at 3090, perhaps GPU prices should be taken rationally.
Steam的统计更有代表性:玩家用的最多的还是1060,这就是GPU市场现状
这不,新消息说英伟达将出一个全新的3060,显存削减到8GB,或许显存位宽也会缩减,但再怎么缩还是3060……这可能就是英伟达预料到了真正矿难之后,或许可以把这个卡定低价来抢市场,高端市场留给4090和4080,毕竟这缩水了的3060不是矿卡。
No, the new news says that Anveta will make a brand-new 3060, reduce its memory to 8GB, and probably shrink its size, but it may still shrink to 3060... It may be that, after it anticipates a real mine disaster, it may be possible to set a low price on this card and leave the high-end market to 4090 and 4080, which, after all, is not a mine card.
那如果你非装机不可呢?我的建议是买个亮机卡用着,然后随时等矿难或是4090,看准了出手,要性能4090,要便宜矿卡3080之类的估计到时候有的是。
What if you had to load it? My advice is to buy a flashcard, and then wait for mine trouble or 4090, see how it works, 4090 for performance, 3080 for cheap mine cards, and so on.
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