众所周知，币圈也离不开周期的束缚，币圈的牛市和熊市一般都是有一定的周期的，转眼间到了新的一年，很多投资者也都在盼望着币圈牛市的来临。所谓币圈牛市，其实指的就是多头市场，也就是指市场行情普遍看涨，延续时间较长的大升市。比特币这一数字货币作为币圈当之无愧的龙头币，它有着非常强大的生命力，它的发展对于整个币圈市场都有非常深远的影响，与币圈的牛市也是相关的，很多投资者想要知道币圈牛市来临的征兆怎么判断？下面就让币圈子小编为大家说一说。
It is well known that the currency circle is also bound by the cycle, that the markets of the currency ring have a certain number of cycles, and that many investors are looking forward to the new year. The market of the currency ring, in fact, refers to multiple markets, i.e. markets that are generally seen to rise and continue for a longer period of time. The number of bitcoins, which is a well-deserved dragon currency, has a very powerful life force. Its development has very far-reaching implications for the market of the currency circle as a whole, and is related to the market of the currency. Many investors want to know what the signs of the market of the currency ring are.
1、利好消息持续出现
1. Good news continues to emerge
不管牛市还是熊市，利好消息都是行情好转的一个重要因素。而如果不断有利好消息出现，那就要留心注意了，说明行业整体行情是向上趋势。并且投资者要了解是什么样的消息，关于哪方面的，关于哪家项目方或币种的，并确认消息真假。
Good news, whether in cattle or bears, is an important factor in the improvement of business. And, if good news continues to prevail, care needs to be taken to show that the industry as a whole is moving upwards.
2、币圈人和地址会异常活跃
2. Money-circle people and addresses are going to be extremely active.
特别是沉寂了很久的社群、电报群，忽然越来越的人出来聊行情，或者朋友圈也都在分析讨论，相比于以往显得很异常。BTC或ETH地址也开始变得活跃起来了，或者新增了很多地址，出现频繁的交易。
In particular, the long-silent community, the telephonic community, and suddenly more and more people come out and talk about things, or the circle of friends are analyzing them, which is unusual compared to the past. The BTC or ETH addresses are starting to get active, or they are adding many new addresses, and there are frequent transactions.
3、行情开始曲线上涨
On the third, the curve begins to rise.
这是最为直观的预兆。前期可能涨幅不是很大，甚至还会略有下跌，但明显可见整体行情是上涨的，只等时机便可暴涨。
This is the most intuitive omen. The upturn may not be significant, or even slightly lower, but it is clear that the overall situation is rising, and that it can surge only when the time comes.
4、大佬出现，会议不断
Four. Big guy shows up. Meetings keep going.
参考去年的牛市现象，说夸张点，但凡在币圈稍微有点影响力的都是投资大佬和专家，朋友圈从上刷到下都是各个币圈名人的动态分享以及各种线下大型活动的宣传。牛市来临前，“大佬们”齐齐抛头露面，开始发力。
In reference to last year’s cattle market phenomenon, exaggeration is true, but all those who have a little influence in the currency circle are the big investors and experts, and the circles of friends are the dynamic sharing of celebrities from above to below, as well as the propaganda of a variety of big events under the line. Before the bull market approaches, the big guys come out and start to work.
5、项目方变少，资金入场
5. Fewer project tracks and funds are in place
这一点，目前的市场已经做到了。经过市场的洗礼以及政府监管，绝大部分劣质项目已经被淘汰，剩下的大都是是优质项目以及潜力项目。项目少了，资金入场，每个项目方能获得的资金就会更多，才能更好的维护社区以及精进技术，真正做到落实应用。
With the baptism of the market and government regulation, most of the poor-quality projects have been phased out, and most of the rest are of high quality and potential. With fewer projects, more funds will be available to each of the project participants to better maintain the community and to improve the technology so that they can actually be applied.
第一次牛市
First Cattle.
时间段： 2010年9月---2011年6月，持续时间9个月。比特币从0.06美元涨到36美元，随后马上跌到2.5美元，跌幅达到93%，但以后没有低于2美元。在这个牛市周期开始买入，投资者仍然可以获得38倍回报。这个阶段只是在少数比特币的极客手中炒作。
Period: September 2010 - June 2011, nine months. Bitcoin increased from 0.06 to $36, and fell immediately to $2.5, a 93% drop, but not less than $2. Investors still receive 38 times the return when buying in this cattle-market cycle. This phase was staged in the hands of a small number of Bitcoin's elites.
第二次牛市
The second cow.
时间段：2011年10月至2013年4月，持续时间7个月，比特币产量减半时间2012年11月28日。比特币从2美元涨到260美元，上涨了130倍。随后不到一周的时间，比特币跌至50美元 ，跌幅80%。这个阶段的主要筹码集中在东亚散户手中。
Period: October 2011 to April 2013, seven months, and 28 November 2012, when Bitcoin production was halved. Bitcoin rose from $2 to $260, a 130-fold increase. In less than a week, Bitcoin fell to $50, a 80-per-cent drop.
第三次牛市
The Third Cattle.
时间段：2013年4月至2013年12月，持续时间8个月。比特币从50美元开始上涨，到2013年12月达到1000美元，涨了23倍。之后，一直跌到了2015年1月的150美元，下跌87%。但是，虽然比特币跌到150美元，在这个牛市启动开始时买入可以获得2倍回报。这个阶段的主要筹码集中在东亚散户手中。
Period: April 2013 to December 2013, eight months. Bitcoin rose 23-fold from $50 to $1,000 in December 2013. After that, it fell to $150 in January 2015, a decline of 87%. But, while Bitcoin fell to $150, buybacks at the start of the cattle market were twice the return.
第四次牛市
The Fourth Cattle.
时间段：2016年1月至2017年12月，持续时间2年，2016年7月比特币产量减半。比特币从2016年1月的400美元，开启缓慢上涨，到2017年12月涨到2万美元，涨了50倍。
Period: 2 years from January 2016 to December 2017, and halving of Bitcoin production in July 2016. Bitcoin rose slowly from $400 in January 2016 to $20,000 in December 2017, a 50-fold increase.
2017年，比特币从1月份的1000美元涨到5000美元，用了10个月；而从7000美元飙升到20000美元，只用了20天，大牛行情往往很短暂。这个阶段的主要筹码集中在东亚散户手中。
In 2017, Bitcoin rose from $1,000 in January to $5,000, for 10 months; from $7,000 to $20,000, for only 20 days, the bulls tend to be short-lived. The main leverage for this phase is concentrated in the East Asian diaspora.
第五次牛市
The Fifth Cattle.
2020年5月12日是比特币的第3次减半。当日比特币的价格为6900多美元。根据过往的经验，在比特币减半后的一年多时间里，将会出现比特币的牛市。比特币第一次减半后，币价上涨100倍。第二次减半后，币价上涨接近50倍。对于这一次，如果我们保守估计一下，假设能够涨到10-20倍。以6900美元为计算基点，那么到了牛市的高峰，初步理论估算比特币的价格也应该在69000-138000美元之间。结合现有情况，因为疫情，各国央行纷纷增发法币，和各路机构对比特币买买买，比特币这次大概率会涨到12万美金以上。这个阶段的主要筹码集中在北美机构手中，币市走向的主导权也从散户转移到机构手中。
For this time, if we conservatively estimate that the price of Bitcoin will be reduced by 10-20 times. At the peak of $6,900, initial theory estimates that the price of Bitcoin will be between $69,000 and $138,000. In the light of the current situation, central banks are sending and buying French currency, which is bought by various agencies, the rate of which is likely to rise to over $120,000. The main chips for this period are concentrated in North American institutions, and the dominant position in the currency market is transferred from the diaspora.
以上就是币圈子小编对于币圈牛市来临的征兆怎么判断这一问题的详细解答。其实比特币和以太坊都是那种无论是熊市还是牛市都能够拿着的币，大家投资的关键其实还是要看看自己的经济情况，大家一定要在自己的能力范围内进行投资，切不可将投资当成一种博弈，毕竟稳定的投资才是我们作为普通的投资中更应该追求的。即使牛市来临，大家也不要在行情暴涨的时候，迷失了自己的本心，一定要有自己投资的原则，做好投资策略，严格按照自己的策略来执行自己的投资。
That is the answer to the question of how the coin ring’s signs are judged. Indeed, both Bitcoin and Etheria are the ones that bear the money they can hold, and the key to investment is to look at their own economic situation, so that investment must not be seen as a game.
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