比特币并不能改变我的未来...

资讯 2024-07-14 阅读:42 评论:0
来源:雪球App,作者: 机智的赵三哥,(https://xueqiu.com/1417280835/164206199)  $比特币人民币(BTCNCNY)$   =12.6万/枚1&nb...
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来源:雪球App,作者: 机智的赵三哥,(https://xueqiu.com/1417280835/164206199)

  $比特币人民币(BTCNCNY)$   =12.6万/枚


1 前言

昨晚泡脚的时候,突然想到比特币最近创了近3年新高,心血来潮的把以前用过的交易软件下载下来,直接准备开仓搞一波,和微博的多头迎接比特币大牛市。

Last night, when the foot-blowing occurred, it occurred to me that bitcoin had recently reached nearly three years of its new height, and that it was so eager to download previously used trading software, that it was ready to open up a wave, and webbo had more than one head to meet Bitcoin's Big Cow.

临睡前成功开仓了一笔,将手机放下充电后,我整个人一直处于焦躁和难以入睡的状态,各种想法层出不穷:

When I put my cell phone down to charge, my whole body was in a state of restlessness and difficulty of sleeping.

“比特币这次过两万肯定没问题”、

"Bitcoin will be fine this time."

“就算比特币涨到4万美金一枚,我也赚不来多少钱......但就收益率来看还不错......但爆仓亏完了的痛苦太大了”、

“I can't make a lot of money even if the bitcoin rises to 40,000 dollars, but it's good in terms of the rate of return but the pain is too much.”

“比特币涨到10万美金一枚,那些炒币的人都个个资产过亿了,而我仍没有任何改变...”、

"Bitcoin rises to $100,000, and those who are snobs have over a billion assets, and I still haven't changed...",

“以后一枚比特币可能能买下上海的一套房子,但我现在却买不起一枚比特币..."

"A bitcoin may buy a house in Shanghai later, but I can't afford a bitcoin... #34;

“为什么3月份的4000美金/枚的比特币不买,现在快两万了却加杠杠开仓...”

"Why don't you buy 4000 dollars in March, and now it's almost 20,000 dollars and you're running out of shit..."

...

在经过一系列的操作下,我终于在开仓2h后终于下定决心,处理掉了这笔非理性交易,微亏出局。

After a series of operations, I finally resolved, after 2h, to dispose of this irrational transaction and to make a small run out of it.



2 人心很古

最近在读班纳吉写的《贫穷的本质》,文章中提到:

Recently read The Nature of Poverty in Benaj, which states:

“我们眼中的穷人世界,常常是一片失去机遇的土地。我们会好奇,为什么他们不把买那些东西的钱攒下来,将钱投入到真正能使他们过得更好的地方?

"The world of the poor, as we see it, is often a land of lost opportunity. We wonder why they don't save the money that buys it and invest it in places that really make them better off?

然而,穷人会更加怀疑那些想象中的机遇,怀疑其生活产生任何根本改变的可能性。他们的行为常常反映出这样的一种想法,即任何值得做出的改变都需要花很长时间。这也可以理解,为什么他们只关注于当前,尽量把日子过得更愉快,在必要的场合参加庆祝活动。”

However, the poor are more sceptical about the opportunities they imagine and about the possibility of any fundamental change in their lives. Their behaviour often reflects the idea that any change that is worth making will take a long time. It is also understandable why they focus only on the present, try to have a better life, and participate in celebrations on the necessary occasion.”


对于我来说,这段话可以改成,我在经历快一年没有关注币市的情况下,“头脑风暴的开仓”事项在短期内获得高额的收益。开仓后的睡不着和后面的纠正平仓,本质上体现的是“短期暴富的想法与现实情况不断冲突,最终,脑海里的‘低风险投资者’占了上升”。

For me, this could be replaced by the fact that I have gained high returns in the short term in the case of a “brainstorm’s opening” after almost a year without paying attention to the currency market. The lack of sleep after the opening and the correction behind it are essentially reflected in the “controversial conflict between short-term rich ideas and reality, and, ultimately, the rise in “low-risk investors” in the mind.”

去年投机币市,一个暑假的课程辅导白干了,“巨亏洗手”后,我写了一篇反思的文章,只发给了我自己一人(主要还是不想给爸妈看到),但现在想想:年轻时早点吃这亏,能早点认清自己的投资风险程度,亏点钱,值!

Last year in the speculative currency market, a summer course tutored , after a “thankful hand-washing”, I wrote a reflection article and sent it to me alone (primarily not to show it to Mom and Dad), but now think about it: you get to know your investment risk early, you get to know your investment risk early, you lose money, you're worth!

炒币炒股亏损文章:股市与币市亏损总结 2020年2月12日



3 价格波动来自于差异

对于比特币,主要有正反两派:

For bitcoin, there are two main parties:

1)以巴菲特+段永平为首的价值投资派普遍不任性比特币,最典型的一个观点是:比特币不产生现金流。

1) Value investment schools headed by Buffet + Yongping are generally open-ended by bitcoin, the most typical view being that bitcoin does not generate cash flows.

段永平对比特币的评论

A comment from the Qingping Pictco.


2)极客、投资交易者、部分金融从业者、无政府主义者则十分相信比特币。

2) Extremes, investment traders, some financial operators, anarchists have a strong faith in Bitcoin.

首先比特币是全球性流通的,不依赖于任何一个国家或组织;

First, Bitcoin is global in circulation and is not dependent on any country or organization;

其次在法币不断扩张的情况下,比特币恒定为2100万枚的算法机制让其显得越来越稀有。

Second, in the context of the ever-expanding French currency, the system of algorithms, which has been set at 21 million bitcoins, has become increasingly rare.

关于两种观点,我认为没有谁对谁错之分,因为价格的波动产生于买卖双方之间观点和思考的差异,这也是你买卖股票能成交的原因,总有一个人在此时此刻与你的观点相反。

With regard to both views, I think that no one is wrong, because the price volatility of results from differences in views and thinking between buyers and sellers , which is also why you can buy and sell stocks, and one person is always at this moment contrary to you.

...

对于比特币,我的看法是:

For bitcoin, my point is:

1)比特币一定是优于黄金的。黄金易被大众接受是因为其近千年的历史发展 + 国家意志的强制流通,而比特币在11年的时间里,能产生如此好的效果,本质上也说明了它的成功。另外,在人人手机和网络的时代,是带着装着几枚比特币的数字钱包全球旅行方便、还是带着一小块金砖旅行方便,大家心知肚明。

Bitcoin must be better than gold. Gold is easily accepted by the general public because of its historical development of the last millennium & nbsp; + & nbsp; and the forced circulation of national will, which, over 11 years, has such a good effect and its success in essence. In addition, in the age of mobile phones and networks for all, it is easy to travel globally with several bitcoin digital wallets or with a small brick, as you all know.

2)比特币应该比茅台值钱,因为比特币是全球性的货币、配置资产,而茅台的影响群体实在过小。【截止2020-11-25日晚7点,比特币价格为1.9 ,折合人民币12.67万/枚,以比特币总量2100万枚来计,目前的总市值为2.35万亿元人民币,超过了A股股王茅台。】

2) Bitcoin should be worth more than

3)比特币不产生现金流并不是问题,比特币目前作为一种金融商品,真正的价格取决于供求关系。知道比特币的人越多、法币印的越来越多,比特币就只会越来越值钱。

3) Bitcoin does not generate cash flows , and bitcoin is currently a financial commodity, and the real price depends on supply and demand. The more people know bitcoin, the more French it is, the more it is worth.



4 “比特币首富”

李笑来老师曾经以6位数的比特币被誉为“比特币首富”,以最低的100万枚来计,今天李笑来老师的身家是192亿美金,在福布斯富豪榜中可以名列78位。

The six-digit bitcoin was once called "bitcoin's richest" by Mr. Lee laughter, which today is $19.2 billion, and is ranked 78 on the Forbes Rich list.



自己也买过李笑来老师的大多数书籍,但从人们对李老师的评价和其生活作风来看,我个人他财富给他带来的幸福是极低的,甚至是反比,因为这笔钱真的是太多了、多得难以有一颗正常人类的心灵可以承受。

I also bought most of Mr. Lee's books, but from what they say about Mr. Lee and how he lives, my personal wealth brings him very little or even worse, because it's too much and too much for a normal human mind to bear.

设想一下:将自己毕业前攒到的14万元人民币全部用于买一枚比特币,在2030年时,比特币的价格涨到了700万/枚,这时候自己肯定不是开心,而是一直在谩骂自己:为什么在4万的时候割肉走人、亦或者是在20万/枚的时候便将其卖出了?

Imagine: spending all of the 140,000 yuan saved before graduation on buying a bitcoin. By 2030, the price of the bitcoin had risen to 7 million. It must not be



5 结语

1)财富和‘德智’是相互匹配的。

1) Wealth and "beautiful" are compatible.

2)哪怕亏了钱,我仍然觉得带着好奇心去探索(比特币)是一件好事。亏钱是因为情绪的变化和心理的贪婪,而不是因为好奇。

Even if I lose money, I still think it's a good thing to explore with curiosity. It's because of emotional change and psychological greed, not curiosity.

只有常去探索新事物,未来才有更多的机会。

There are more opportunities in the future only if new things are often explored.

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